ARLP014 Propagation de K7RA


Here’s the latest propagation forecast from Tad Cook (K7RA).

Views expressed in this Amateur/Ham Radio News summary are those of the reporters and correspondents.

Content supplied by W1AW, HQ ARRL, and Tad Cook (K7RA).

Accessed on 07 April 2021, 2142 UTC, Post 1966.

Source (email message from HQ ARRL):

https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/FMfcgxwLtQPwXwHxBwFMZGdkCWllCZMN

Please click link or scroll down to read your selections.

ARRL Web site

8:25 AM (3 hours ago)

 to me
SB PROP @ ARL $ARLP014
ARLP014 Propagation de K7RA

ZCZC AP14
QST de W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 14  ARLP014
From Tad Cook, K7RA
Seattle, WA  April 2, 2021
To all radio amateurs

SB PROP ARL ARLP014
ARLP014 Propagation de K7RA

Average daily sunspot numbers declined this week from 17.9 to 11.9.
Why? Because on the final two days of the March 25-31 reporting week
sunspots disappeared. That’s right. We’re back to the blank Sun
again, unfortunately.

Spaceweather.com reported on Wednesday that we may soon see a
potential sunspot currently on the far side of our Sun. They
presented this image:

https://bit.ly/39vq54y

Average daily solar flux dropped from 78.6 to 77.4. Geomagnetic
indicators softened as well, with average daily planetary A index
declining from 13.3 to 8.9, and middle latitude A index from 10.4 to
7.7.

Predicted solar flux over the next month does not look promising,
with values way down in the seventies, although this forecast
improved some over the past couple of days. Expect 10.7 cm flux at
73 on April 2-3, 71 on April 4-9, 73 on April 10-13, 74 on April
14-16, 76 on April 17-24, 75 on April 25-27, then 74 and 73 April
28-29, and 72 on April 30 through May 5.

Predicted planetary A index is 5 on April 2-5, 8 on April 6-7, then
5, 10 and 20 on April 8-10, then 5 on April 11-15, then 20 and 18 on
April 16-17, 8 on April 18-19, 5 on April 20-21, 8 on April 22-24,
12 on April 25, 8 on April 26-27, 5 on April 28-30, then 8 on May
1-2, 5 on May 3-4 and 12 on May 5-7.

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period April 2 to 27, 2021
from OK1HH.

“Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on: April 12-13, 24-26
quiet to unsettled on: April 5, 14, 23
quiet to active on: April (2-7, 15, 20-22, 27)
unsettled to active: April (8, 11, 18-19)
active to disturbed: April (9-10,) 16-17

“Solar wind will intensify on: April 3, (4-5, 8-9,) 10-11, (12,
16-17,) 18, (19-22, 27).

“Remarks:
– Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.
– Predictability of changes remains very low, as there are ambiguous
and quickly changing indications.”

Here is an article from “The Irish Times” about space weather and
the sinking of the Titanic:

https://bit.ly/3fB9joK

NN4X reported a 15 meter long path opening to Asia: “Nice opening to
Asia here in Central Florida on the morning of 4/1/2021.

“On FT8, I worked BA7LP, YD7ACD, BG7PHA, and VR2VLY, and heard 9V1PL
and BD7LMA.

“It was very concentrated – note no JA/HL/DU. Typically, I’ve been
seeing more YBs than anything on 15M LP, but certainly not today.

“Anyway, it’s all great fun, and I thought I’d pass it along!”

Many years ago we reported in this bulletin results JQ2UOZ was
getting running 1/2 watt using simple wire antennas on his apartment
balcony.  Check out his blog:

https://jq2uoz.blogspot.com

Another blast from the past on flares and CMEs:

https://bit.ly/2QP6c1R

An article in “The Conversation” about predicting space weather:

https://bit.ly/2PrlTMt

An article about why we are still hearing about that Carrington
Event – even after all these years – can be found here:

https://bit.ly/3uimA9Q

AL7LO has a collection of his favorite ARRL Propagation Forecast
Bulletins, and he shared this one recently from 8 years ago:

http://www.arrl.org/w1aw-bulletins-archive/ARLP001/2013

If you would like to make a comment or have a tip for our readers,
please email the author at, k7ra@arrl.net .

For more information concerning shortwave radio propagation, see
http://www.arrl.org/propagation and the ARRL Technical Information
Service web page at, http://arrl.org/propagation-of-rf-signals. For
an explanation of numbers used in this bulletin, see
http://arrl.org/the-sun-the-earth-the-ionosphere.

An archive of past propagation bulletins is at
http://arrl.org/w1aw-bulletins-archive-propagation. More good
information and tutorials on propagation are at http://k9la.us/.

Instructions for starting or ending email distribution of ARRL
bulletins are at http://arrl.org/bulletins .

Sunspot numbers for March 25 through 31, 2021 were 24, 24, 11, 11,
13, 0, and 0, with a mean of 11.9. 10.7 cm flux was 78.8, 79.6,
80.4, 75.1, 74.4, 79.5, and 73.8, with a mean of 77.4. Estimated
planetary A indices were 18, 12, 9, 6, 4, 3, and 10, with a mean of
8.9. Middle latitude A index was 18, 11, 7, 4, 3, 4, and 7, with a
mean of 7.7.
NNNN
/EX

—–

Aloha es 73 de Russell Roberts (KH6JRM)

Public Information Officer

Hawaii County, ARRL Pacific Section

https://atomic-temporary-116934757.wpcomstaging.com

Retired News director of Pacific Radio Group Radio Stations on Hawaii-the Big Island. I have more than 40 years of broadcast experience, including positons at KTUH-FM (UH-Manoa), KPOI-FM (Honolulu). KHLO-AM (Hilo), KKBG-FM (KBIG-FM)(Hilo/Kona), KAPA-FM (Hilo-Kona). Native-FM (Hilo-Kona), and ESPN Hawaii (Hilo-Kona). Former University of Hawaii-Hilo librarian. Retired Air Force Officer. Amateur (Ham) Radio operator since 1977 (currently holds the Amateur Extra Class License from the FCC-KH6JRM).... Can read, write, and speak Russian. Retired on 30 September 2011, but still maintains a Hawaii Island News Blog.

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Posted in Amateur/Ham Radio, ARRL, Big Island ARRL News, Big Island of Hawaii ARRL info, Club Activities, Contests, DX-peditions
Site Administrator and PIO
Russ Roberts

Russ Roberts

Retired News director of Pacific Radio Group Radio Stations on Hawaii-the Big Island. I have more than 40 years of broadcast experience, including positons at KTUH-FM (UH-Manoa), KPOI-FM (Honolulu). KHLO-AM (Hilo), KKBG-FM (KBIG-FM)(Hilo/Kona), KAPA-FM (Hilo-Kona). Native-FM (Hilo-Kona), and ESPN Hawaii (Hilo-Kona). Former University of Hawaii-Hilo librarian. Retired Air Force Officer. Amateur (Ham) Radio operator since 1977 (currently holds the Amateur Extra Class License from the FCC-KH6JRM).... Can read, write, and speak Russian. Retired on 30 September 2011, but still maintains a Hawaii Island News Blog.

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