Welcome to the latest propagation forecast from Tad Cook (K7RA).
Top Story: Here’s a complete look at the solar and terrestrial factors that affect propagation on the Amateur/Ham Radio bands.
Views expressed are those of the reporters and correspondents.
Content supplied by Tad Cook (K7RA), his volunteer staff of observers, and HQ ARRL.
Accessed on 13 March 2020, 2040 UTC, Post 1348.
Source (email message from HQ ARRL, 225 Main Street, Newington, CT, 06111 and W1AW.
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SB PROP @ ARL $ARLP011
ARLP011 Propagation de K7RA
QST de W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 11 ARLP011
From Tad Cook, K7RA
Seattle, WA March 13, 2020
To all radio amateurs
SB PROP ARL ARLP011
ARLP011 Propagation de K7RA
I felt cheated this week when a much anticipated sunspot only
appeared just briefly, disappearing after two days.
Sunspot region AR2758 only appeared on March 8-9, with daily sunspot
numbers of 13 and 12. Average daily sunspot numbers for the week
rose from zero to 3.6, while average daily solar flux increased
(minimally) from 70 to 70.2.
Average daily planetary A index declined from 6.7 to 4.4, and
average middle latitude A index decreased from 4.6 to 3.6.
Predicted solar flux over the next 45 days is 70 on March 13-20, 72
on March 21-22, 70 on March 23 through April 4, 72 on April 5-18,
and 70 on April 19-26.
Predicted planetary A index is 5 on March 13-26, then 12 and 8 on
March 27-28, 5 on March 29 through April 5, then 10 and 8 on April
6-7, 5 on April 8-13, then 8, 12 and 8 on April 14-16, 5 on April
17-22, then 12 and 8 on April 23-24 and 5 on April 25-26.
The Vernal Equinox occurs next week, at 0350 UTC on March 20. 2020.
This is when the Southern and Northern Hemisphere are bathed in
approximately equal doses of solar radiation, and like the Autumnal
Equinox six months later, is considered a good time of year for long
distance HF communications.
I see some new activity over the solar horizon, an active, bright
spot, but this time in the Northern Hemisphere:
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 13 to April 8,
2020 from OK1HH.
“Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on: March 13-14, 23-25, 29-30.
quiet to unsettled on: March 15, 18 (- 21), 26, 28, April 2-7.
quiet to active on: (March 22, 31, April 1, 8).
unsettled to active on: (March 16-17, 27).
active to disturbed: None.
“Solar wind will intensify on: March (17-22,) 28, (29-31).
– Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.
– The predictability of changes remains lower at present.
– Beware of paraskavedekatriafobia on Friday!”
Ken, N4SO reports monitoring NCDXF 15 meter beacons using a
“CS3B on 21.150 MHZ NCDXF Beacon. Location for CS3B is Madeira.
(Northwest coast of Africa)
“CS3B heard on March 4, 2020, 1931 UTC, and 1934 UTC.
“The beacons in the NCDXF International Beacon Project broadcast on
four different power levels– 100 watts, 10, 1 and 100 mw, giving a
very good indication of propagation quality.
“I heard the very strong CS3B beacon on at least 3 power levels. The
last one is uncertain.
“It’s not unusual to hear NCDXF beacons on 3 power levels, if the
signal is strong and the frequency is quiet.
“Other NCDXF beacons heard daily on 21.150 MHZ are OA4B and YV5B with
variable signals, or not at all. But often heard approximately at
1900, 2000, or 2100 UTC.”
Steve Gardner, KB1RUV noted strong 15 meter activity into the
Caribbean last Saturday.
A local newspaper article in Duluth about recent sunspot activity
can be found here:
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an explanation of numbers used in this bulletin, see
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Sunspot numbers for March 5 through 11, 2020 were 0, 0, 0, 13, 12,
0, and 0, with a mean of 3.6. 10.7 cm flux was 69.5, 70, 69.9, 70.2,
70.8, 70.8, and 70.5, with a mean of 70.2. Estimated planetary A
indices were 4, 5, 5, 5, 5, 4, and 3, with a mean of 4.4. Middle
latitude A index was 3, 4, 5, 3, 5, 3, and 2, with a mean of 3.6.
Hawaii Island Amateur/Ham Radio News:
The Puna Emergency Radio Club (PERC) needs volunteers to provide communications support for the 15 March 2020 Hilo Marathon. PERC also is looking for a ham with a vehicle equipped with a mobile radio to serve as “runner” between aid stations. Contact Bob Gomez (KB6EGA) for details (email@example.com.
For the latest Amateur/Ham Radio news and information, please check the blog sidebars and links. These news feeds are updated daily and weekly. Thanks for joining us today.
Aloha es 73 de Russell Roberts (KH6JRM)
Public Information Coordinator
Hawaii County, ARRL Pacific Section
https://paper.li/f-1576465810 (breaking Amateur/Ham Radio News)